Magic Modie
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |