2

My Girl Sky

7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Woodbine 26/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 97 · 7f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 97 par26/10C5OR 97C6 @ Woodbine 03/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 95 parC6 @ Woodbine 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2025 · OR 94 par29/08C6OR 94C6 @ Woodbine 05/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 97 parC5 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 96 · 7f110y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 96 par25/10C5OR 96C5 @ Woodbine 13/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 95 parC6 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 86 · 7f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 86 par6/06C6OR 86C8 @ Woodbine 26/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 85 · 7f110y Gd 123 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Woodbine 30/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 85 par30/07C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Woodbine?8th6th+2
2026-06-26Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-06-06Woodbine?7th5th+2
2025-12-13Woodbine?8th4th+3
2025-10-25Woodbine?6th2nd+3
2025-10-05Woodbine?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/105/106/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20244th14/126%63%+0.36
03/08/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
29/08/20253rd8/158%67%+0.09
05/10/20255th14/126%33%+0.07
25/10/20256th25/10%44%+0.44
13/12/20258th16/116%0%-0.16
06/06/20267th10/147%40%-0.07
26/06/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
30/07/20268th25/10%13%+0.13