5

Twisting Pistons

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 84

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength37%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 31/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 75 par31/08C8OR 75C8 @ Woodbine 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 7f 121 · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Woodbine 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 80 · 1m 121 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 80 par23/10C8OR 80C7 @ Woodbine 07/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 83 parC7 @ Woodbine 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 82 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 82 par8/05C7OR 82C7 @ Woodbine 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 76 parC7 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 76 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 76 par21/06C7OR 76C7 @ Woodbine 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 7f 123 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 80 par23/07C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-07-11Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-06-21Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-05-31Woodbine?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-08Woodbine?7th6th+1
2025-11-07Woodbine?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/087/1121/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength69%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
02/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
23/10/20252nd9/276%75%-0.01
07/11/20255th11/486%20%-0.66
08/05/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
31/05/20263rd15/261%60%-0.01
21/06/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
11/07/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
23/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24