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9

Saratoga Gold

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 58

Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f 118 · HIGHER CLASS17/05C6C6 @ Woodbine 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 53 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 53 par14/06C6OR 53C6 @ Woodbine 19/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 53 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 53 par19/07C6OR 53projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Woodbine?7th6th+1
2026-06-14Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-05-17Woodbine?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0514/0619/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20266th33/10%0%0.00
14/06/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
19/07/20267th50/10%40%+0.40