7
Stroke Of Genius
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 88
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |