8

Definite Diva

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 78

Woodbine · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 26/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 87 par26/12C6OR 87C6 @ Gulfstream 22/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 98 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/03/2025 · OR 98 parC6 @ Gulfstream 20/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 97 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 97 par20/04C6OR 97C5 @ Monmouth Park 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Monmouth Park 29/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 92 par29/06C5OR 92C8 @ Monmouth Park 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 121 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 91 parC7 @ Woodbine 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 84 par9/05C7OR 84C7 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Woodbine 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 7f110y 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 83 par4/07C7OR 83projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-06-05Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-05-09Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-07-13Monmouth Park?3rd4th1
2025-06-29Monmouth Park?5th3rd+2
2025-05-25Monmouth Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1225/059/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20242nd9/153%90%+0.37
22/03/20256th7/282%29%-0.53
20/04/20258th14/126%36%+0.10
25/05/20255th9/276%56%-0.21
29/06/20255th6/168%56%-0.13
13/07/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
09/05/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
05/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
04/07/20267th4/179%0%-0.79