6

Let's Go Souper
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |