6

Let's Go Souper

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 78

Woodbine · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 05/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 83 · 7f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2025 · OR 83 par5/07C6OR 83C7 @ Woodbine 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 76 · 7f 120 · below its mark17/08/2025 · OR 76 parC7 @ Woodbine 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 78 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 78 par5/09C7OR 78C7 @ Woodbine 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 7f 120 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 80 parC7 @ Woodbine 01/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 6f 121 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 81 par1/11C7OR 81C7 @ Woodbine 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f 121 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 83 parC7 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 77 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/05C7OR 77C7 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 76 · 7f110y Fm 124 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 76 parC7 @ Woodbine 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 74 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 74 par18/07C7OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-06-11Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-05-23Woodbine?9th9th0
2025-11-22Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-11-01Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2025-09-27Woodbine?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0727/0923/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength64%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/202511th8/158%0%-0.58
17/08/20252nd9/276%86%+0.09
05/09/20253rd13/266%71%+0.06
27/09/20254th7/282%50%-0.32
01/11/20252nd1/195%86%-0.09
22/11/20254th7/282%40%-0.42
23/05/20269th6/168%27%-0.41
11/06/20267th6/168%14%-0.54
18/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12