5
Regal Affair
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |