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Scat Humor

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 68

Woodbine · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 08/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 7f Fas 119 · below its mark08/11/2024 · OR 71 par8/11C7OR 71C7 @ Woodbine 01/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark01/12/2024 · OR 68 parC9 @ Woodbine 16/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 64 par16/05C9OR 64C9 @ Woodbine 18/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f 122 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 66 parC7 @ Woodbine 31/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 68 par31/07C7OR 68C9 @ Woodbine 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 67 parC8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 66 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 66 par6/06C8OR 66C8 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 121 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 67 par23/07C8OR 67projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Woodbine?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-25Woodbine?8th9th−1
2026-06-06Woodbine?3rd4th−1
2025-08-21Woodbine?1st3rd−2
2025-07-31Woodbine?7th7th0
2025-07-18Woodbine?5th7th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1118/076/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20246th14/126%29%+0.02
01/12/20245th20/10%33%+0.33
16/05/20254th12/137%40%+0.03
18/07/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
31/07/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
21/08/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
06/06/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
25/06/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
23/07/20262nd20/10%90%+0.90