4
Golden Sunset
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |