1
Pepper Patch
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |