3
Bold Time
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 94
Woodbine · Race 9 - Bison City Stakes · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | BHA92 | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |