5
Bossy Candy
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 94
Woodbine · Race 9 - Bison City Stakes · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |