2
Katie's Grace
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 9 - Bison City Stakes · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | BHA94 | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |