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Lake Louise

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 88

Woodbine · Race 9 - Bison City Stakes · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

34%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Oaklawn Park 14/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 12214/03C6C6 @ Oaklawn Park 02/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 93 par2/04C6OR 93C6 @ Woodbine 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 119 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 87 par3/05C6OR 87C6 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fas 119 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 91 par23/05C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Woodbine?1st3rd−2
2026-05-03Woodbine?2nd4th−2
2026-04-02Oaklawn Park?5th7th−2
2026-03-14Oaklawn Park?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/032/043/0523/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
02/04/20265th5/287%43%-0.44
03/05/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12
23/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12