12:45 · Kelso

Welcome To Family Day Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 4f 189yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF3 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 117
8/11
Fine Thing silks

Mr Bill Hawkins

5yo Mare · 11-5

Soldier Of Fortune - Presenteea (Presenting)

Harry Atkins60%−5lbD Skelton80%
P23114
7.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Won first 2 starts over hurdles, latest when getting the better of the odds-on favourite in match at Stratford. Down in trip and faced competition for the lead when fourth of 7 in novice hurdle at Newton Abbot last time. Goes back up in trip and has cheekpieces added by leading yard.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0615/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/0720/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/0818/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%19/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%18/09
Projected finish1st of 3
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-347/100
2
2
OR 110
5/4
Jentobello silks

Paul & Clare Rooney

6yo Gelding · 11-0

My Dream Boat - Hester Flemen (Flemensfirth)

B S Hughes70%2/7I Jardine70%
322342
7.0Going 10.0
1st Blinkers +3

Won both outings in bumpers and made frame all 6 starts over hurdles, latest when beaten 2 lengths to Nightflyer in maiden at Uttoxeter. Rates a serious player here with first-time blinkers now on.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0727/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par21/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 71%25/07Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%17/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%15/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 3
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-273/100
3
3
25/1
Mr Ramoon silks

Samantha Toomes

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Sea Moon - Lady Ramona (Lord Americo)

Conor Rabbitt0/1S Corbett
F6497
2.0Class ↓1

Maiden pointer who's been well held both starts over hurdles. Hard to see anything changing here.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/0113/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 47%15/01Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%13/06
Projected finish3rd of 3
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-371/100