7
Dizavril Pelem
4yo Filly · 10-7
Angers · Prix Andre Adele Hurdle · 2m 198y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Senonnes-Pouance | A Lepage | ? | 6th | 13th | −6 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | A Lepage | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | A Lepage | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-24 | Pau | A Lepage | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 26/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |