15:03 · Ayr

'3B Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle

2mGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick
OR 103
9/4
She's Notjoeking silks

The Jokers

6yo Mare · 11-7

Milan - Miss Joeking (Alkaadhem)

D R Fox40%1/1L Russell & M Scudamore60%Synergy 71
341321
8.0
Going 0Course 76

Front runner who snatched defeat from the jaws of victory (idled markedly) when runner-up at Hexham in April. Picked up where she left off when making all (set brisk pace) on reappearance at Perth last time. A 3 lb rise looks about right and no guarantee she comes on significantly for that run.

Class Advantage

12/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/11 · mark par12/1129/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par21/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par13/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par15/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par15/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 76Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 85%12/11Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%21/02Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%13/04Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%15/10
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-286/100
2
OR 108
6/1
Vampire Slayer silks

Mrs Michelle Charlton

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Camacho - Bionic Buffy (Dark Angel)

Callum Bewley10%2/7D Bourke60%Synergy 46
551132
6.0
Going 0Course 75
Visor

On a long losing stretch prior to winning back-to-back handicaps at Sedgefield/Catterick. Finished last season with fine ½-length second in Go North Final handicap at Musselburgh. Arrives following an encouraging pipe-opener on the Flat, though dry forecast probably isn't ideal.

Class Advantage

21/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par21/014/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par20/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par8/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 75Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%21/01Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 85%16/02Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%2/09Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%8/10
Projected finish2nd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-855/100
1
OR 111
9/2
Inappropriate silks

The Farming Boys & Ben Stephens

5yo Gelding · 12-1

Churchill - Kimblewick (Iffraaj)

Sean Quinlan1/2Ewan Whillans60%Synergy 48
952614
5.0
Going 0Course 80
Tongue strap

Fairly useful winner on the Flat prior to capitalising on a lenient hurdle mark in smooth style at Perth last month. Matched that with 7¼-length fourth behind Un Sens A La Vie in competitive Market Rasen handicap (also ran well on Flat since). Interesting with sights lowered back over hurdles.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/0731/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par26/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par13/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par13/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 80Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%13/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%25/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%26/09Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%13/10
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-947/100
3
OR 106
5/1
Liberty Coach silks

Mr John P McManus

5yo Gelding · 11-10

Le Havre - Elysian (Galileo)

Oakley Brown20%−5lbJ & S Quinn70%Synergy 61
036P33
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Long way below his useful Flat form despite finishing third on half his hurdling starts to date. Easy to put a line through his sole previous handicap start (heavy) in this sphere. Could well make more impact under less testing conditions here, with promising claimer taking over on return.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/096/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%18/09Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 80%27/12Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%10/03Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%2/07
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%1-947/100
4
OR 106
16/1
Ginger Mail silks

Mrs David Coltman & Mrs J Douglas Mill

10yo Gelding · 11-10

Sinndar - Queenly Mail (Medaaly)

Bruce Lynn10%1/9N W Alexander70%Synergy 11
43P30P
5.0Class ↓3
Going 0Course 67
1st Tongue Strap +2

Veteran who won the 2022 renewal of this race. Tumbled in the weights since his latest win here (2½m) in January 2025. Perhaps ailed by a physical issue when running no sort of race here on final start last season (since had breathing operation). Could be worth a chance in first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage

20/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/01 · mark par20/011/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par29/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par23/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/01 · mark par7/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par20/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par20/03projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 67Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%20/01Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%29/11Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%7/03Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 23%20/03
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%4-1155/100
5
OR 104
16/1
Dee's Getaway silks

Southdean Racing Club

6yo Mare · 11-8

Getaway - Chiltern Hills (Beneficial)

Jonathon Bewley10%G Bewley60%Synergy 19
150017
5.0
Going 0Course 100
Tongue strap

Inconsistent sort. Won twice at big odds last season (soft/heavy), including in a similar C&D event in November. She's hardly one to set your watch by, though, especially following 6 months away.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/1118/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/11 · mark par22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/12 · mark par16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par25/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par13/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par13/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 100Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%1/11Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%22/12Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%25/03Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%13/04
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-1127/100
9
OR 99
10/1
Clanokre Lass silks

Mr L P Macdonald

4yo Filly · 11-2

Poet's Word - Simplyonelady (Old Vic)

Jordan Gainford10%G ElliottSynergy 51
64530
3.0
Going 0Course 0

Cheap purchase for a top Irish yard. Looked more straightforward when 5½ lengths third in Down Royal maiden (17f) on qualifying run. Friendless in the betting when down the field over longer trip at Navan (19f, 22/1) last month. One to note if the market speaks more favourably.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/055/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%10/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 81%5/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%9/08Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 78%28/08Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%19/09
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%1-376/100
7
OR 101
10/1
Pure Gold silks

Thp Racing & D A Harrison Racing

6yo Mare · 11-5

Golden Horn - Nathalie (Nathaniel)

Peter Kavanagh10%3/13Miss L HarrisonSynergy 16
443436
5.0Class ↓3
Going 0Course 0

Split a couple of next-time-out winners when third to Inappropriate on penultimate start. Market expected better when well held in her bid for a repeat success at Perth subsequently. Easy to make a case for now 1 lb below her winning mark.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par14/052/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par15/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%14/05Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%12/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%7/09Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%23/09
Projected finish8th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%6-1167/100
11
OR 95
50/1
Jolyjump silks

Campbell & Hogg

7yo Gelding · 10-13

Kapgarde - Pepite Du Mathan (Turgeon)

Ben Smith10%0/1−7lbR M SmithSynergy 20
422489
3.0
Going 0Course 0

Borderline fair chaser for Gary & Josh Moore in 2024/5. Offered little in couple of starts 15 months apart for present yard. Plenty to prove at present.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/0317/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%6/03Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%20/04Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%29/06Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%24/09
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%7-1172/100
10
OR 97
10/1
Dancing Fruits silks

Mr S McMillan & Recommended Freight Lt

5yo Gelding · 11-1

Getaway - Wattle Bridge (King's Theatre)

P W Wadge10%A M ThomsonSynergy 48
PPP576
2.0
Going 0Course 0

Placed once from 4 starts in points. Never looked like justifying support on qualifying run/final start for Ellmarie Holden in May. Hardly a positive he was sold for only £5,500 ahead of this stable/handicap debut, either.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/0314/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/048/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 76%7/03Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%14/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 62%8/05
Projected finish10th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%1-1123/100
8
OR 99
33/1
El Jefe silks

Mr A B Hamilton

9yo Gelding · 11-3

Born To Sea - Ros Mountain (Montjeu)

Conor Rabbitt10%3/13A B HamiltonSynergy 28
33464P
4.0
Going 0Course 60
Tongue strap

Winless since capitalising on a pace collapse at Grand National meeting in 2024. Did post plenty of creditable efforts in defeat from his slipping mark last season. Relatively quick turnaround suggests he's over whatever troubled him (appeared to go wrong) on return at Perth last month.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par20/1224/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par29/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par13/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par23/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par7/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/03projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 60Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 88%20/12Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%29/01Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%23/02Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%7/03
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%7-1172/100