18:15 · Southwell

Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap

1m 13yStandardClass 23YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
OR 94
3/1
Murashah silks

Mr Malcolm McMaster

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 8

Night Of Thunder - Muteela (Dansili)

P J McDonald10%E BethellSynergy 50
162211
7.0
Going 72Course 90
Hood

Impressive return from 19 months off when winning at Thirsk (7f) in April and made it 2-2 since joining Ed Bethell when seeing off 9 rivals over 1m at Ripon 4 months later. Found only one too good on sole previous outing over C&D and there could easily be more to come from him.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/075/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 72Course · 90Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 55%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 93%29/08Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%18/04Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-567/100
9
Top Pick
OR 88
14/1
Tremolo silks

Elite Racing Club

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 2

Bated Breath - Harmonica (Pivotal)

Lewis Edmunds10%0/1Harry CharltonSynergy 43
591136
6.0
Going 87Course 100

Recorded back-to-back wins on all-weather last year, the second coming over C&D. Seen to good effect in a strongly-run race at Newcastle on final outing that year and understandably looked rusty when sixth of 15 at that venue (7f) 10 months on. Seemingly hard to train but return to 1m will suit.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/049/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par13/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 87Course · 100Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%26/04Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%21/08Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 62%27/06
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%2-950/100
1
OR 103
4/1
Chantilly Lace silks

Mrs Doreen Tabor

4yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 6

Lope De Vega - Seeking Solace (Exceed And Excel)

Hollie DoyleR M Beckett80%Synergy 65
155355
4.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Salisbury winner at 2 yrs and shaped encouragingly in the 1000 Guineas on only her second start. However, wasn't at her best first time out in the Dahlia Stakes at that venue this time round and others look better treated contesting her first handicap.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/104/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par26/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par17/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par3/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par3/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%20/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%17/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%3/05
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%2-1039/100
8
OR 90
10/1
Twisting Physics silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 10

Dubawi - Frangipanni (Dansili)

Finley Marsh40%Oliver ColeSynergy 25
165215
5.0
Going 0Course 0
Tongue strap

Low-mileage sort who reacted well to the fitting of a tongue tie, going down by a nose at Newbury before shading a tight finish at Windsor (both 1¼m) in June. Matched that form when fifth in a well-contested handicap at Goodwood and interesting now returning to all-weather (won sole start over C&D).

Class Advantage

12/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0618/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par29/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par28/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 1 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 64%16/05Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%29/06Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%28/07
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%2-764/100
3
Market Fav
OR 97
11/4
Portcullis silks

HM The King & HM The Queen

3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 3

Frankel - Castle Lady (Shamardal)

R Havlin10%J & T Gosden60%Synergy 40
11
8.0
Going 0Course 0

Frankel colt who overcame greenness to make an impressive winning start to his career in the Wood Ditton at Newmarket (1m), pushed out to score by 5½ lengths. Workmanlike when defying a penalty in a muddling race at York (1m) a month later and remains open to significant improvement.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a16/0415/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a15/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%16/04Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%15/05
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%5-571/100
2
OR 95
20/1
Two Tempting silks

Berkeley Racing

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1

New Bay - Dangle (Desert Style)

K Stott40%1/1J G PortmanSynergy 43
330405
3.0Class ↓1
Going 60Course 67

Useful handicapper who is well-treated on the pick of his form and took a step back in the right direction when fifth of 7 in 1m handicap at Goodwood last month, though his finishing effort lacked punch. Probably vulnerable to less-exposed types.

Class Advantage

7/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/027/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par23/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 60Course · 67Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%7/02Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 6%31/07Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 31%5/09Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%23/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%4-1057/100
6
OR 92
16/1
Whitcombe Rockstar silks

Mrs Michelle Anne Crook

7yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5

Footstepsinthesand - Roshina (Chevalier)

Josephine Gordon30%5/21Kieran Burke70%Synergy 33
112044
5.0Class ↓1
Going 81Course 0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Serious operator at Kempton having won 7 times and also ran a cracker there (11f) when second in strong race in March. Shaped as if he'd sharpen up for his first run in 10 weeks when fourth there in early-September but it is possible this is a pipe-opener back at 1m.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/01 · mark par28/012/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par28/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par12/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par25/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 81Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%28/01Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 92%28/03Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%25/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 70%5/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-757/100
7
OR 93
12/1
Mcmurray silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 4

Mehmas - Nada (Teofilo)

Jack Callan20%0/1G BougheySynergy 82
211110
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Ended 2-y-o season with 3 wins and picked up where he left off to bring up a 4-timer at Chester (7.6f) in May, getting up in the final strides. Gelded after and was well held 4 months on at Ayr but was possibly unsuited by conditions and may get back on track now switched to all-weather.

Class Advantage

12/07 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a12/0713/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par6/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par7/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%12/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%11/09Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%7/05Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 23%19/09
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%6-1068/100
10
OR 90
8/1
Princling silks

Mr A E Oppenheimer

3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 9

Kingman - Frankellina (Frankel)

Jason Hart10%W J HaggasSynergy 54
214563
4.0
Going 0Course 0

Strong 2-y-o form prior to making a winning return at Wetherby in April. Shaped well when fifth in the Golden Gates (1½m) at Royal Ascot and did so again on the back of a gelding operation/3-month break when third in a useful minor event back at Ascot (1m) last time. Looks on a good mark.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/1026/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par2/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 93%31/10Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 77%30/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%2/10
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%5-1062/100
5
OR 93
25/1
Ozat silks

Miss Lauren Kiely

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 7

Kingman - Ollie Olga (Stormy Atlantic)

Edward Greatrex10%0/1Ian WilliamsSynergy 39
800370
2.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Useful multiple winner in his native France. Has dropped in the weights and shaped well a couple of times for current connections, notably when third at Ascot in August but followed a below-par effort with an even worse one at York last time and has something to prove on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/064/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par4/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par9/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/10projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 74%17/06Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 18%31/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%4/09Pos 17 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 17 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%9/10
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%6-1070/100