14:33 · Ascot

Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

2m 7f 185yGoing TBCClass 14YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick
OR 144
10/3
Viroflay silks

Mr Paul Nicholls & Mr John Bolton

9yo Gelding · 12-0

Air Chief Marshal - Red Vixen (Agnes World)

Mr Lucas Murphy20%−7lbP F Nicholls60%Synergy 73
221201
7.0
Going 0Course 50

Jumped well and proved game when scoring at Kempton (3m) in December. Didn't jump with his usual fluency over the different fences in the Topham but he completed a simple task at Newton Abbot in May. Likely to face competition up front but promising rider looks good value for his claim.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/1124/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below24/11 · mark par27/12 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/12 · mark par21/02 · C2 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par10/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par13/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 50Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 50%1/11Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%27/12Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 17 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 17 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%10/04Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%13/05
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-476/100
3
OR 142
7/1
Henry's Friend silks

Elizabeth And Oliver Troup

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Shirocco - Easter Bonnie (Milan)

Kielan Woods20%2/7B Pauling80%Synergy 66
81869P
4.0
Going 0Course 77
Cheek pieces

Blows hot and cold but his 2 biggest wins have come over C&D including this race from 1 lb higher 12 months ago. Best effort after came when sixth in Silver Cup here and whilst disappointing on final 2 starts, he's likely been well prepared in bid to land this again following breathing operation.

Class Advantage

11/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par11/0312/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par1/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par12/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par20/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par21/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/02projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 77Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%11/03Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 68%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%1/11Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 55%20/12Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%21/02
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-664/100
1
Value
OR 144
8/1
Your Darling silks

Lord Vestey

11yo Gelding · 12-0

Shirocco - Carries Darling (Flemensfirth)

Callum Pritchard10%B Pauling60%Synergy 36
14231P
8.0
Going 0Course 40

Veteran course winner who is a risky betting proposition but capitalised on ease in grade when successful at Ludlow (3m) in March. Struggled in listed company at Punchestown final start in May and whilst yet to defy a mark this high, he's often reserved his best for this venue.

Class Advantage

24/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par24/1126/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par21/11 · C2 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par10/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/01 · mark par14/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par30/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 40Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%24/11Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%21/11Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%14/02Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%30/03
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-940/100
7
OR 131
7/1
Queensbury Boy silks

Mr Martin Gowing & Mr David Jewers

7yo Gelding · 11-1

Doyen - Queens Wild (Westerner)

Brendan Powell20%0/1M Bowen70%Synergy 66
261281
6.0
Going 0Course 0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Walked over for first chase success at Hereford in May. Followed that with a good second at Uttoxeter later that month and landed biggest prize to date with cheekpieces added when taking Summer Plate at Market Rasen (21f) in July. Remains unexposed at 3m.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1216/01 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par13/02 · C3 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par16/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par28/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%16/01Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 50%12/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 42%28/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-850/100
4
OR 139
7/2
Califet En Vol silks

McNeill Family & Stone Family

7yo Gelding · 11-9

Califet - Mallards In Flight (Well Chosen)

N de Boinville10%3/10N J Henderson60%Synergy 47
235147
4.0
Going 0Course 0

Often strong in betting and he became another winner to emerge from traditionally strong Cheltenham handicap when opening chase account at Kempton (20.5f) in February. Not in same form either start thereafter for all soft ground possibly against him latterly. Claims if proving stamina for this far.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C2 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par12/121/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par24/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par21/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par14/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par17/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%12/12Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%24/01Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 50%14/03Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%17/04
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%4-964/100
10
OR 126
14/1
Imperial Alex silks

Hft Forklifts Limited

9yo Gelding · 10-10

Imperial Monarch - What Can I Say (Mister Lord)

Stan Sheppard40%5/20T Lacey60%Synergy 36
752115
6.0
Going 0Course 0
1st Visor +2

Likeable sort who was thriving earlier this year, bagging extended 27f handicap chase at Stratford prior to following up gamely in Summer Cup at Uttoxeter (3m) in June. However, below best from career-high mark over same C&D in July and he resumes with his yard yet to get going this autumn. Visored.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/0326/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par5/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par30/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par28/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par26/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%7/03Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%5/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%26/07
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%3-1050/100
8
OR 128
10/1
Neon Moon silks

Brocade Racing

10yo Gelding · 10-12

No Risk At All - Hidden Horizons (Winged Love)

Jack Tudor10%3/13D Pipe80%Synergy 29
514F50
4.0
Going 0Course 82
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Posted a good fifth on return from 6 months off in this race last season before enhancing his already good strike rate over 21f here later in November. However, he ended last season with a couple of low-key efforts in veterans company and he can often flatter to deceive under pressure.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par3/051/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par21/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par17/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below17/12 · mark par6/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par4/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/04projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 82Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 77%3/05Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%21/11Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%6/03Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%4/04
Projected finish7th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%2-950/100
9
OR 123
10/1
Tapley silks

The Plumpton Party

Tapley

5lbs

9yo Gelding · 10-12

Geordieland - Cathodine Cayras (Martaline)

Caoilin Quinn10%2/2Jamie & Josh MooreSynergy 27
313411
7.0
Going 0Course 0
Tongue strap

Good strike rate for Suzy Smith and fine start for new yard, successful at Fontwell (19.5f) prior to raising his game a bit more in line with rise in class when scoring at Plumpton (2½m, good) 12 days ago. Return to further unlikely to pose an issue and possibilities under 5-lb penalty.

Class Advantage

14/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/0328/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par14/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par22/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par19/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/10projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%14/03Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%14/04Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%19/10
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%2-1040/100
6
OR 133
12/1
Transmission silks

Paul McKeon

9yo Gelding · 11-3

Doyen - Ellie (Winged Love)

R P McLernon10%N P Mulholland70%Synergy 55
881375
4.0Class ↓1
Going 0Course 36
1st Blinkers +3

Back to form with a bang during the spring, winning Edinburgh National at Musselburgh and solid efforts in Sussex National/Bet365 Gold Cup. Entitled to come on plenty for his hurdles reappearance earlier this month and whilst he's on a competitive mark, this trip could be on sharp side. Blinkers on.

Class Advantage

16/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/1120/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par1/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par6/04 · C2 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par25/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par17/10 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par17/10projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 36Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 22%16/11Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%1/02Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%25/04Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%17/10
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%4-964/100
5
OR 134
14/1
Somespring Special silks

Yeo Racing Partnership

8yo Mare · 11-4

Westerner - Natural Spring (Generous)

Ben Godfrey10%4/8P Hobbs & J WhiteSynergy 29
153117
5.0
Going 0Course 0
Tongue strap

8-y-o mare who boasts a good strike rate who registered back-to-back victories at Newton Abbot/Bangor (at up to 3m) in May. Severe mid-race error did her no favours at Perth when last seen in June but her career-high mark demands more after 5 months off in this environment. Had breathing operation.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1014/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par12/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par6/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par7/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m 7f 185y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%10/10Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%12/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%7/06
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%5-1064/100