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15:10 · Ascot

1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

1m 7f 157yGoing TBCClass 34YO plusTURF5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick
OR 110
5/2
Babs silks

Sue Howell

Babs

5yo Mare · 11-3

Poet's Word - Magnetize (Gold Well)

Kielan Woods20%3/6Henry Oliver60%Synergy 70
775211
8.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Fair bumper winner. Progressed again to open her hurdles account in good style at Worcester in June. Took a strong hold/made an early blunder when narrowly justifying market strength on return at Newton Abbot. Gives weight to the boys but experience/fitness could count for plenty on hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

7/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/127/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 7f 157y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%7/12Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%4/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-456/100
4
4/1
Masterius silks

W Frewen & Carol Pipe

Masterius

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Pastorius - Diabline (Buck's Boum)

Jack Tudor10%1/3D Pipe60%Synergy 29
2231
7.0
Going 0Course 0

Picked up for £30,000 after runner-up sole outing in Irish points (chaser on pedigree). Fair performer in bumpers, aided by the run of the race when off the mark in small field at Southwell earlier this month. Has some potentially above-average prospects to contend with on hurdling debut, though.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/065/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0713/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 7f 157y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%19/06Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 80%5/07Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%13/10
Projected finish2nd of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-360/100
2
10/3
No Way Jay silks

First Past The Post 1

No Way Jay

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Harzand - Some Sister (Dr Massini)

Brendan Powell20%0/1J Tizzard60%Pair 29%Synergy 100
1490
4.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 79

Fairly useful bumper winner who finished fourth (beating subsequent Grade 2 winner) in listed event here in December. Clearly not suited by going the other way around at Newbury subsequently. The pick of those with bumper form and looks interesting back on a right-handed track for hurdling bow.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/1119/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/127/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0221/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/03projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength61%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 79Dist: 1m 7f 157y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%8/11Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 79%19/12Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 11%7/02Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 32%21/03
Projected finish3rd of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-537/100
3
Market Fav
2/1
Sportingsilvermine silks

Mr Gordon McDowall

Sportingsilvermine

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Holy Roman Emperor - Praskovia (Manduro)

J J Burke20%James OwenSynergy 74
No form4.0
Going 0Course 89

Useful Flat performer (stays 12.5f). Dam closely related to smart hurdler. He's proved better than ever on the level this year, landing Old Newton Cup in July. Could well make an immediate impact now switched to hurdling by leading dual-purpose yard.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0711/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par8/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par3/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/10projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 89

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 21 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 5%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 89%8/08Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 9%12/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%3/10
Projected finish4th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-370/100
5
14/1
Seven Airs silks

Bloodstock & 2 Smoking Barrels Syndica

Seven Airs

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Feel Like Dancing - All Summer Long (Shirocco)

David Bass40%Mrs L HillSynergy 58
64
3.0
Going 0Course 0

Didn't progress from his debut when beaten 11¾ lengths in a Uttoxeter bumper on final start for Tom Weston in March. Looks to have plenty to find now sent hurdling by new yard.

Class Advantage

14/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/0328/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/03projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 7f 157y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%14/03Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%28/03
Projected finish5th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-171/100