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17:05 · Southwell

All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery (GBBPlus Race)

1m 13yStandardClass 32YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick
OR 92
5/4
National Honour silks

Godolphin

National Honour

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 6

Wootton Bassett - Nationalista (Nathaniel)

Marco Ghiani10%C Appleby60%Synergy 61
2112
7.0
Going 100Course 0

Improving son of Wootton Bassett who bagged a pair of 7f novice successes at Thirsk and Kempton (form franked) this summer. Only narrowly denied by a rival already proving in the mud on nursery debut at Doncaster (7f, heavy) last week. Remains open to improvement.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/0714/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/0814/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/0924/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par24/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%31/07Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%14/09Pos 2 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 67%24/10
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-553/100
5
OR 79
3/1
Talamon silks

Mr & Mrs R Scott

Talamon

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 5

Starspangledbanner - Laurelita (High Chaparral)

Jack Callan20%G BougheySynergy 82
332
7.0
Going 89Course 0

Placed on all 3 of his qualifying runs, taking a step forward when finding only a useful prospect too good when second of 10 in maiden at Kempton (1m) 31 days ago. Respected nursery debutant.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a18/088/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a8/0930/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 89Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%18/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%8/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%30/09
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%1-365/100
1
OR 94
6/1
Dandyman Dan silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

Dandyman Dan

2yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 7

Dandy Man - Sorella D'angelo (Dark Angel)

Lewis Edmunds10%Oliver ColeSynergy 29
159436
4.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Won a Bath maiden on debut and better form in defeat in stronger company since, including when third in 7f Ascot listed race in July on final start for David Evans. Posted a solid sixth for new yard in similar company at Doncaster (7f) last time and gelded ahead of handicap debut.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0428/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par24/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par11/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%27/04Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%5/06Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 78%24/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-557/100
7
OR 76
14/1
Tiora Time silks

Nick Bradley 7 & Partner

Tiora Time

2yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 4

Time Test - Footlight (Showcasing)

Molly Keegan-Price10%−7lbTom CloverSynergy 65
31259
4.0
Going 0Course 0

Progressive daughter of Time Test who bagged 6.5f maiden at Doncaster in August. Posted a very good fifth of 8 on her nursery bow at Sandown (1m, good to soft) and wasn't ideally drawn when down the field in a valuable sales event at Goodwood last month.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/071/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par23/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%9/07Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%13/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%11/09Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%23/09
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%3-755/100
3
OR 79
7/1
Bowdens silks

Kingsley Park 45

Bowdens

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 1

Australia - Silver Meadow (Teofilo)

Rowan Scott10%1/2C JohnstonSynergy 36
16
5.0Class ↓2
Going 0Course 0

Forged clear to win a weak Hamilton maiden on debut last month and struggled pitched into listed company at Newmarket (1¼m, good to firm) 21 days ago. Opening mark at least looks workable on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/0910/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%20/09Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%10/10
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%6-671/100
6
OR 77
25/1
My A'ali Baba silks

Mr E R Griffiths

My A'ali Baba

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 2

A'ali - Rohlindi (Red Ransom)

Amy Tucker10%−7lbP D Evans60%Synergy 9
530594
3.0Class ↓2
Going 50Course 0

Successful in strongly-run 6f event at Chepstow on debut. Ran respectably enough when fourth of 7 in nursery (40/1) at Kempton (1m) 17 days ago but others might remain better treated despite mark being eased 3 lb.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/063/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par12/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par14/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/10projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%7/06Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 41%30/07Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%20/08Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%14/10
Projected finish6th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%1-733/100
4
OR 79
12/1
Drum Bay silks

Mrs David Aykroyd

Drum Bay

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 3

New Bay - Chamade (Sepoy)

Hollie DoyleR M Beckett80%Synergy 65
238
4.0
Going 89Course 0

Shaped well when a debut second in Lingfield novice (7f, all-weather) in July but failed to go on as expected when third of 6 in maiden at Ffos Las the following month. Dropped away as if he might've been amiss when last of 8 in nursery at Sandown (1m, good to soft) 50 days ago and gelded since.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a6/0712/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a12/0811/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 89Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%6/07Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 60%12/08Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%11/09
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%7-777/100