4
Melchior Kergador
4yo Gelding · 10-7 · Draw 7
Angers · Prix Yves Priouzeau Stakes · 1m 6f 91y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Senonnes-Pouance | H Lebouc | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | O Andigne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Moulins | G Sanchez | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Lignieres | M Besnard | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +19.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |