3

Midship

4yo Gelding · 10-7 · Draw 6

Angers · Prix Yves Priouzeau Stakes · 1m 6f 91y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Moulins 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 14117/09C5C1 @ Nantes 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 136 · HIGHER CLASS1/11C13 @ Pau 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 152 · HIGHER CLASS3/023projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-03PauB Lestrade31st-1th+2
2025-11-01NantesH Lebouc?5th0th+4
2025-09-17MoulinsS Saadi?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/091/113/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -14.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
01/11/20255th10/147%56%+0.08
03/02/20261st7/491%100%+0.09