12
Marie Rosalie
3yo Filly · 10-3
Angers · Prix Point Bleu Hurdle · 2m 198y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength34%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | B Lestrade | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | B Lestrade | 1 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |