5
Newton Le Dun
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Angers · Prix Point Bleu Hurdle · 2m 198y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | L Brechet | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | Tho Journiac | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |