IvyArcIvyArc
3

Victorstrung

2yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 2

Angers · Prix Tello Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m44y Hvy 1235/09C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12815/09C5C5 @ Amiens 27/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m44y Sft 12827/09C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 14/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12114/10C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14Saint-CloudD Provost?5th5th0
2026-09-27AmiensT Trullier?3rd3rd0
2026-09-15Lyon-ParillyG Guedj-gay?4th4th0
2026-09-05CraonJ Moutard?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0915/0927/0914/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 38/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength84%

Delivery trend -13.7% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
15/09/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
27/09/20263rd11/1094%67%-0.28
14/10/20265th16/116%56%+0.40