3
Tokyo Dreams
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 11
Angers · Prix La Koumia Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Lyon-Parilly | C Demuro | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | T Piccone | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -25.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 06/10/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |