10
Becquathunder
9yo Gelding · 8-2 · Draw 4
Angers · Handicap De La Maine Handicap · 2m 3f 194y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | ParisLongchamp | M Favriaux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | M Favriaux | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | M Favriaux | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2021 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 08/07/2023 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 92% | +0.01 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 47% | -0.32 |
| 18/10/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |