9
Cocoon Quatre
6yo Mare · 8-5 · Draw 6
Angers · Handicap De La Maine Handicap · 2m 3f 194y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength17%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | ParisLongchamp | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Toulouse | A Werle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | D Provost | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | M Foulon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | A Werle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | M Foulon | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 23/09/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 13/10/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |