8
Fatalisme
11yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 7
Angers · Handicap De La Maine Handicap · 2m 3f 194y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | T Blanchouin | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | T Blanchouin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Saint-Cloud | T Blanchouin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-01 | Fontainebleau | T Blanchouin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-20 | Pornichet | T Blanchouin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-28 | Pornichet | T Blanchouin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength8%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2024 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 22/12/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 07/01/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 28/01/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/02/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 58% | -0.26 |
| 01/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 01/05/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 04/09/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |