4
Kaleo Caesar
7yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 5
Angers · Handicap De La Maine Handicap · 2m 3f 194y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | O Andigne | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | O Andigne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | O Andigne | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | O Andigne | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | O Andigne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | Aurelien Lemaitre | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 22/12/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 31/03/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 07/05/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 25/08/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |