3
Orion Rock
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3
Angers · Handicap De La Maine Handicap · 2m 3f 194y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Deauville | P Cheyer | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | C Lefebvre | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | A Baron | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | A Baron | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | A Baron | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | A Baron | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 05/10/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |