IvyArcIvyArc
10

Delta Spirit

9yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9

Angers · Prix Rabelais Handicap · 1m 3f 95y

#15

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mans 06/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 1196/10C?C0 @ Nantes 15/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 133C5 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m1f97y Std 136 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 77 par2/11C5OR 77C5 @ Angers 16/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m2f96y Sft 130 · beat its mark16/11/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 13221/0444 @ Nantes 11/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 1314 @ Nantes 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13229/0543 @ Nantes 16/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 1285/094projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05CraonF Valle Skar416th16th0
2026-06-16NantesA Bernard312th11th+1
2026-05-29NantesA Bernard45th5th0
2026-05-11NantesA Bernard411th11th0
2026-04-21Le MansC Raimbault414th14th0
2025-11-16AngersC Raimbault?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1016/1129/055/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/202511th11/142%29%-0.14
15/10/20252nd14/126%91%+0.65
02/11/20259th28/10%11%+0.11
16/11/20254th20/10%73%+0.73
21/04/202614th66/10%7%+0.07
11/05/202611th25/10%33%+0.33
29/05/20265th20/10%71%+0.71
16/06/202612th33/10%21%+0.21
05/09/202616th14/126%0%-0.26