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Golden Beach

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3

Angers · Prix Rabelais Handicap · 1m 3f 95y

#2

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

46%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 12214/0544 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1293 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/0734 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1313 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS6/0833 @ Saint-Cloud 31/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Strasbourg 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12413/09C?4 @ Amiens 27/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 1324 @ Lyon La Soie 11/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 13211/104projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11Lyon La SoieD Provost47th7th0
2026-09-27AmiensL Bails42nd2nd0
2026-09-13StrasbourgMichael Cadeddu?8th8th0
2026-08-31Saint-CloudT Piccone315th14th+1
2026-08-06DeauvilleT Piccone314th13th+1
2026-07-21VichyC Demuro41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0521/0713/0911/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/202611th4/179%9%-0.70
13/06/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22
02/07/20263rd7/282%86%+0.04
21/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
06/08/202614th16/116%0%-0.16
31/08/202615th28/10%0%0.00
13/09/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
27/09/20262nd15/261%92%+0.31
11/10/20267th18/15%40%+0.35