9
Lib Dubawi
9yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 8
Angers · Prix Rabelais Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#8
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Les Sables | M Romary | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Lignieres | A Merou | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Lignieres | A Merou | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Toulouse | A Merou | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Lyon-Parilly | A Merou | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Vichy | D Santiago | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength31%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2024 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 09/11/2024 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 02/07/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/07/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 13/10/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |