5
Mearas Style
8yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 2
Angers · Prix Rabelais Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Le Mans | J Lacroix | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-10-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | J Lacroix | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentan | J Lacroix | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | J Lacroix | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | J Lacroix | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | J Lacroix | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/10/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 08/10/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 28/10/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |