7
Rigel
4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 6
Angers · Prix Rabelais Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
41%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Deauville | T Marlin | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Craon | T Marlin | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | L Roussel | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | L Roussel | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | T Marlin | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | L Roussel | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 32/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/02/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 7% | -0.40 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/07/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 27/09/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 05/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |