Stormy Night
8yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 7
Angers · Prix Rabelais Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#11
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | ParisLongchamp | M Barzalona | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | L Brechet | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | L Brechet | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Saint-Cloud | J Claudic | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | J Claudic | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Saint-Cloud | M Velon | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 29/07/2025 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/09/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 13/10/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |