1

Brise De Mai
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 13
Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 10.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Craon | Am Romain Lemiere | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | O Andigne | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | A Menard-ledauphin | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-12-23 | Deauville | C Bouttier | ? | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | C Raimbault | ? | 16th | 17th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength25%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/12/2025 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |