1

Brise De Mai

4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 13

Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 10.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Craon 30/11/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12030/11C5C5 @ Deauville 23/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12423/12C5C5 @ Chateaubriant 24/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 12424/05C5C5 @ Moulins 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 12428/08C54 @ Craon 27/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 15127/094projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27CraonAm Romain Lemiere410th10th0
2026-08-28MoulinsO Andigne?6th7th−1
2026-05-24ChateaubriantA Menard-ledauphin?9th10th−1
2025-12-23DeauvilleC Bouttier?13th14th−1
2025-11-30CraonC Raimbault?16th17th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1123/1224/0528/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/202516th80/10%0%0.00
23/12/202513th66/10%0%0.00
24/05/20269th100/10%33%+0.33
28/08/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
27/09/202610th66/10%0%0.00