4
Coco Light
8yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2
Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Craon | R Gabard | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Senonnes-Pouance | A Molins | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | A Molins | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | M Fleury | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | L Poggionovo | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | A Molins | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 02/08/2026 | 14th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.63 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 27/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |