11
Jack's Son
11yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1
Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | G Roth Le Vaillant | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pornichet | P Remoue | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Pornichet | P Remoue | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | J Claudic | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2023-12-27 | Pornichet | P Cheyer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-12-17 | Pornichet | Coralie Pacaut | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 9-15 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2023 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 19/11/2023 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 03/12/2023 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 17/12/2023 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 27/12/2023 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/12/2025 | 13th | 7/2 | 82% | 8% | -0.74 |
| 05/09/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |