14
Kenpic
5yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 11
Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#15
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 10.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Clairefontaine | R Mangione | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | D Santiago | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | D Santiago | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | L Grosso | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | O Andigne | ? | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Auteuil | D Carre | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 13/12/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 22/12/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/01/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 08/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 20/10/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |