15

Ladyshow

5yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 14

Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 06/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1296/12C?C0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1244 @ Deauville 09/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1259/0144 @ Deauville 22/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1303 @ Chantilly 31/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS31/0133 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 116 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 1215/094C0 @ Vichy 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 117C0 @ Saint-Cloud 14/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 11614/10C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14Saint-CloudM Romary?7th7th0
2026-09-21VichyD Santiago?6th6th0
2026-09-05CraonM Protti48th8th0
2026-08-16DeauvilleD Santiago312th11th+1
2026-01-31ChantillyS Ruis310th9th+1
2026-01-22DeauvilleS Ruis48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1222/015/0914/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/202511th33/10%23%+0.23
22/12/20257th33/10%60%+0.60
09/01/202610th12/137%40%+0.03
22/01/20268th12/137%50%+0.13
31/01/202610th22/10%36%+0.36
16/08/202612th66/10%21%+0.21
05/09/20268th25/10%53%+0.53
21/09/20266th16/116%58%+0.43
14/10/20267th20/10%50%+0.50