8
Norqui Des Roses
7yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 7
Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-11 | Craon | L Boisseau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Le Lion D'angers | R Gabard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-05 | Nantes | R Gabard | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Senonnes-Pouance | H Lebouc | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Pornichet | O Andigne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-04-18 | Nantes | D Boche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 02/03/2024 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 31/03/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/04/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 26/03/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/04/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/05/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 11/06/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |