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13

Tundra

10yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 12

Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 22/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 12722/11C?C0 @ Pornichet 05/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 121C0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 13122/12C?4 @ Deauville 08/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1274 @ Lyon La Soie 14/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12914/0243 @ Chantilly 25/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Hvy 13220/034C0 @ Vichy 22/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 131C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 20/10/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 11620/10C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-20Bordeaux Le BouscatW Levesque?16th16th0
2026-09-22VichyD Santiago?11th11th0
2026-03-20Le Croise-LarocheS Tison48th8th0
2026-02-25ChantillyD Santiago310th9th+1
2026-02-14Lyon La SoieK Raybould411th11th0
2026-01-08DeauvilleA Molins43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/118/0120/0320/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 11-15 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/20259th50/10%38%+0.38
05/12/20256th25/10%64%+0.64
22/12/20252nd28/10%93%+0.93
08/01/20263rd22/10%87%+0.87
14/02/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
25/02/202610th28/10%40%+0.40
20/03/20268th10/147%36%-0.11
22/09/202611th25/10%17%+0.17
20/10/202616th33/10%0%0.00