5

Wakif
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 8
Angers · Prix Ecouflant Handicap · 1m 3f 95y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | H Mouesan | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Toulouse | H Mouesan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | H Mouesan | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | C Demuro | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | V Seguy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | T Piccone | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 05/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 14/04/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 06/08/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 20/10/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |