4
Sumaco
3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 4
Angers · Prix Claude Munet - Grand Prix D'angers Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | M Favriaux | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | Pierre-Charles Boudot | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | M Guyon | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | M Guyon | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | A Pouchin | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |