15

Hokitolove

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix General Du Pommeau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength49%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 14/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 014/04C?C0 @ Vire 19/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Reims 09/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 09/06C?C0 @ Vichy 25/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Agen 18/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 018/11C?6 @ Vincennes 05/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 022/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 15/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Caen 10/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS10/104projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10CaenS Baude412th8th+3
2026-09-15VincennesQ Champenois?11th11th0
2026-06-22CaenA G Maillard?9th9th0
2026-01-05VincennesJ Roux65th4th+1
2025-12-23ArgentanE De Jesus?0
2025-11-18AgenE De Jesus?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0425/0622/0610/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20255th80/10%73%+0.73
19/05/20259th28/10%53%+0.53
09/06/20253rd14/126%85%+0.58
25/06/20253rd18/15%82%+0.77
18/11/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
05/01/20265th20/10%67%+0.67
22/06/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
15/09/202611th25/10%29%+0.29
10/10/202612th80/10%27%+0.27