16
Illinois
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix General Du Pommeau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength33%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | J Cl Hallais | 5 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | Mlle A Hallais | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Cabourg | Mlle A Hallais | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-19 | Cabourg | J W Hallais | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-10-03 | Cabourg | Mlle Clara Dersoir | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-08-28 | Vincennes | Mlle A Hallais | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 75/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength88%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2024 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/07/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 28/08/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 03/10/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 19/12/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 93% | -0.03 |
| 23/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 01/03/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 35% | +0.09 |